Published by dan on Apr 6, 2020
Updated on Jul 13, 2020

Georgia's COVID-19 Growth Curve

"Flatten the Curve" is the United States' rallying cry during the coronavirus outbreak of 2020. Stay home, socially distance, and help squash the exponential spread of the virus. How are we doing?

There are countless projections, but the truth is no one knows how we're doing. Statistician Nate Silver writes coronavirus case counts are meaningless unless you know something about testing, and our testing is incomplete. Bill Gates continues to work towards dramatically increased tested, which will help us determine how long the nationwide shutdown should last.

While we wait for increased testing, we'll look at the numbers in the COVID-19 Daily Status Report published by the Georgia Department of Public Health. This page occasionally saves this snapshot to track its change over time. The most important number is the Growth Rate. A growth rate consistently above 1.00 means it's spreading exponentially, while a growth rate consistently below 1.00 means it's shrinking exponentially. Please refer to the video Exponential growth and epidemics for an in-depth explanation.

Date Tested Positives Hospitalized Deaths Gwinnett Fulton Dekalb Cobb Hall Muscogee Clayton Chatham Dougherty Lowndes Whitfield Cherokee Henry Troup Bibb Richmond Glynn Douglas Colquitt Forsyth Carroll Houston Tift Bartow Clarke
Count Growth Count Growth Count Growth Count Growth Cases Growth Deaths Growth Cases Growth Deaths Growth Cases Growth Deaths Growth Cases Growth Deaths Growth Cases Growth Deaths Growth Cases Growth Deaths Growth Cases Growth Deaths Growth Cases Growth Deaths Growth Cases Growth Deaths Growth Cases Growth Deaths Growth Cases Growth Deaths Growth Cases Growth Deaths Growth Cases Growth Deaths Growth Cases Growth Deaths Growth Cases Growth Deaths Growth Cases Growth Deaths Growth Cases Growth Deaths Growth Cases Growth Deaths Growth Cases Growth Deaths Growth Cases Growth Deaths Growth Cases Growth Deaths Growth Cases Growth Deaths Growth Cases Growth Deaths Growth Cases Growth Deaths Growth Cases Growth Deaths Growth
Jul 13 1,279,375 0.53 118,717 0.72 13,449 2.46 3,017 5.67 11,488 0.76 184 10,763 0.66 324 8,387 1.21 182 7,170 1.0 255 2.0 3,867 0.79 64 2,859 1.2 57 2,831 0.48 82 2,659 1.07 38 2,171 4.33 156 1,901 2.84 18 1,818 0.53 15 1,789 1.93 48 1,781 0.67 34 1,745 -0.63 38 1,715 1.23 43 1,656 1.72 60 1,586 2.75 10 1,448 1.9 39 1,287 1.0 20 1,178 0.96 15 1,055 0.19 40 1,001 0.41 30 990 3.5 28 977 1.25 44 970 2.07 15
Jul 12 1,268,099 0.99 117,033 0.97 13,304 1.02 3,000 0.75 11,326 0.9 183 0.0 10,611 0.96 323 8,255 0.89 180 -0.0 7,061 0.76 253 3,833 1.13 63 2,776 1.05 56 2,806 1.27 82 2,552 1.45 38 2,158 0.21 156 1,847 2.38 18 1,802 0.81 15 1,760 0.34 48 1,769 0.46 34 1,750 0.44 38 1,672 -1.52 43 0.0 1,613 0.57 60 1,553 0.36 9 1,410 0.87 39 1,280 0.47 20 1,154 1.39 15 1,050 2.36 40 990 6.75 30 983 0.17 28 962 0.21 44 0.0 939 1.36 15
Jul 11 1,246,857 0.71 114,678 0.61 13,245 0.22 2,997 0.07 11,114 0.75 183 0.25 10,381 0.67 323 0.0 8,146 0.26 180 -0.2 6,952 0.41 252 0.0 3,790 0.51 63 2,707 0.36 56 0.0 2,754 0.39 82 0.0 2,452 0.31 38 2,155 0.17 156 0.0 1,828 0.14 18 0.0 1,772 0.61 15 1,745 0.88 48 0.0 1,751 0.53 34 0.0 1,742 1.2 38 1,637 -0.32 43 1.0 1,588 0.55 60 0.0 1,541 0.23 9 1,390 0.37 39 1,273 0.39 20 0.0 1,129 0.51 15 1,024 0.2 40 963 0.12 30 981 0.43 28 0.0 950 1.97 44 924 0.26 15
Jul 10 1,225,488 1.36 112,261 0.92 13,187 0.76 2,993 3.86 10,879 1.03 182 1.33 10,141 0.89 323 -6.0 8,024 2.47 181 5.0 6,809 1.78 252 1.5 3,752 0.84 63 2,641 1.61 56 2,713 1.2 82 2,383 2.75 38 2,141 3.24 156 1,820 0.89 18 3.0 1,735 0.41 15 1,701 0.91 48 1.0 1,712 1.07 34 1,724 0.48 38 0.0 1,660 0.81 42 1,544 1.05 60 1,508 3.49 9 1,367 0.91 39 0.0 1,258 0.97 20 1,111 1.13 15 1,013 1.34 40 959 0.5 30 0.0 969 0.8 28 1.0 893 1.38 42 913 0.82 15
Jul 9 1,195,405 1.02 108,323 1.45 12,919 2.53 2,939 0.7 10,565 1.4 178 3.0 9,784 1.89 317 -1.0 7,555 1.12 176 0.5 6,460 1.58 249 3,678 1.17 63 0.0 2,459 0.86 55 2,607 1.31 81 2,163 0.86 38 2,060 5.0 155 1,763 1.6 15 1,674 3.24 15 1,651 1.77 47 1.0 1,638 1.57 33 1,709 1.19 38 1.0 1,587 1.88 41 1,464 2.24 59 0.0 1,365 1.21 9 0.0 1,304 1.5 39 1,220 2.79 19 1,076 1.15 15 958 1.21 40 926 4.4 30 1.0 941 5.83 27 864 0.95 42 871 1.24 15
Jul 8 1,173,354 1.04 104,065 0.87 12,567 0.43 2,925 1.0 10,259 1.28 175 9,382 1.05 318 0.5 7,365 1.65 175 6,264 0.56 247 0.0 3,590 1.07 63 2,346 3.77 55 0.0 2,519 1.03 81 0.0 2,083 1.27 38 2,035 0.21 155 1,699 0.26 14 1,525 0.43 15 0.0 1,596 0.5 46 1,569 1.29 33 1,678 2.89 37 1.0 1,497 0.28 41 1,388 0.71 59 1.0 1,324 0.49 9 0.5 1,235 1.05 37 1,181 0.32 19 0.0 1,045 0.53 15 917 2.83 40 860 0.23 29 1.0 906 0.21 26 843 0.85 42 820 1.41 15
Jul 7 1,151,695 2.05 101,126 1.64 12,428 1.11 2,905 0.83 10,041 0.75 174 0.0 9,169 0.69 317 7,195 0.6 173 6,140 1.48 247 3,515 1.79 62 0.0 2,214 0.88 55 2,452 1.59 81 1.0 1,990 0.88 38 0.0 2,030 1.85 155 1,659 1.95 14 0.0 1,479 2.84 15 1.0 1,565 1.48 45 0.0 1,525 0.79 33 1,652 0.26 36 1,449 3.84 41 1,354 1.78 58 0.33 1,290 1.68 8 1,189 1.05 37 0.0 1,167 2.2 19 1,018 2.83 15 883 0.5 40 845 2.06 28 0.33 900 0.7 26 821 1.24 42 779 0.78 15
Jul 6 1,130,889 0.4 97,732 0.96 12,105 6.64 2,885 24.0 9,871 1.47 174 8,967 1.27 315 0.0 7,092 0.8 173 5,917 1.96 246 3,445 3.55 62 2,179 0.63 52 2,387 0.62 80 1,917 2.18 38 2,006 0.87 155 1,505 0.89 14 1,371 0.93 14 1,503 2.33 45 1,491 1.26 33 1,643 1.46 35 1,276 0.66 41 1,306 0.44 57 1,221 0.84 6 1,145 2.0 37 1,123 1.18 18 967 1.38 15 871 0.73 40 779 4.0 27 872 2.35 26 795 3.0 42 750 1.37 15
Jul 5 1,120,730 0.88 95,657 0.88 11,813 0.71 2,861 0.33 9,645 0.71 173 8,675 0.54 315 6,919 0.87 173 5,766 0.58 246 0.0 3,406 0.33 60 2,139 0.54 52 2,346 1.12 79 1,834 0.35 37 1,993 0.42 155 1,426 3.71 12 1,333 0.69 13 0.0 1,461 0.67 44 1,448 0.97 33 1,608 1.33 35 1,231 0.76 41 1,279 1.02 54 1,180 0.79 6 1,103 0.95 36 1,103 2.83 18 949 0.76 15 847 0.85 40 747 0.73 24 832 1.31 26 774 0.37 42 713 1.29 15
Jul 4 1,095,577 1.38 93,496 0.96 11,769 0.63 2,860 0.75 9,491 0.42 173 8,445 1.13 314 6,702 1.29 173 5,689 0.78 246 1.0 3,395 1.03 60 2,075 1.22 52 2,280 0.57 79 1,796 0.83 37 1,978 4.0 155 1,337 0.59 12 1,292 1.64 13 0.5 1,443 0.68 44 1,414 0.61 33 1,584 0.53 35 1,163 1.68 41 1,218 0.63 54 1,131 1.05 6 1,082 0.63 36 1,086 0.14 18 936 0.45 15 814 1.63 40 739 0.79 24 815 0.65 26 767 2.11 42 686 0.51 15
Jul 3 1,066,852 0.66 91,046 0.73 11,707 0.53 2,857 0.21 9,273 2.32 173 8,019 1.92 314 6,452 0.86 173 5,557 0.82 245 -1.0 3,362 0.74 60 1,957 0.9 52 0.0 2,221 1.58 79 1,688 0.9 37 1,942 0.53 155 1,313 2.28 12 1,233 1.13 12 1,416 2.5 44 1,379 1.02 33 1,566 1.36 35 0.0 1,074 0.8 41 0.0 1,158 3.43 54 0.0 1,069 0.42 6 1,060 0.8 36 1,080 1.35 18 919 1.46 15 775 1.26 40 728 0.41 24 802 0.77 26 748 0.56 42 665 1.32 15
Jul 2 1,045,983 1.48 88,481 1.22 11,609 0.82 2,853 0.76 8,758 0.77 173 0.0 7,641 0.66 314 0.0 6,258 1.89 173 5,388 0.95 244 -1.0 3,330 0.72 60 1,860 2.35 52 4.0 2,118 0.8 79 1,558 2.94 37 1,933 1.89 155 0.0 1,272 0.9 12 0.0 1,197 0.68 10 1,376 0.53 44 0.0 1,322 1.33 33 1,532 0.33 35 1.0 1,021 1.16 41 1.0 1,062 0.6 54 5.0 1,010 2.69 6 1,025 1.26 36 1,038 1.15 18 881 2.36 15 751 2.38 40 0.0 714 0.89 24 0.0 782 4.33 26 739 0.84 42 624 1.11 15
Jul 1 1,014,288 1.95 84,967 1.49 11,423 1.06 2,834 1.92 8,536 1.02 173 7,444 1.0 314 6,033 0.37 173 0.0 5,181 1.17 245 1.0 3,287 1.15 60 1,752 0.39 48 0.25 2,053 0.98 79 1,414 0.28 37 1,916 0.75 155 1,254 0.42 12 1,165 1.04 10 1,360 1.0 44 1,266 0.84 33 1,507 1.44 34 1.0 955 1.04 40 1,034 0.87 49 870 0.27 6 981 0.78 36 1,007 0.51 18 855 0.44 15 732 0.25 40 680 4.22 24 756 0.86 26 723 0.83 42 593 0.65 15
Jun 30 992,804 0.57 82,093 0.68 11,196 0.85 2,809 0.76 8,247 1.03 170 0.0 7,146 1.28 312 0.0 5,914 2.34 173 1.0 4,963 1.11 244 0.33 3,227 0.9 60 0.0 1,706 1.92 47 1,972 16.6 79 1,365 1.97 37 1,907 1.0 154 1,234 1.14 11 0.0 1,118 0.75 10 1,330 0.6 43 -0.0 1,224 1.52 33 1,432 1.16 33 1.0 898 0.56 39 0.0 987 0.76 48 818 2.06 6 0.0 946 1.96 36 980 3.12 18 844 0.81 15 724 1.78 39 642 0.16 23 750 0.15 26 0.0 704 2.56 42 565 1.19 15
Jun 29 981,805 0.99 80,161 1.38 10,981 8.13 2,796 8.5 7,963 12.5 170 6,848 21.18 312 5,589 17.38 172 4,777 15.27 243 3.0 3,175 29.0 60 1,589 6.78 43 1,889 0.5 79 1,188 11.25 37 1,895 154 1,186 3.0 11 1,073 2.07 10 1,300 8.33 43 1,174 33.0 33 1,380 2.05 32 843 5.76 39 933 3.94 48 626 93.0 6 901 36 927 1.89 18 819 15 692 18.0 39 633 27.5 23 743 11.75 26 681 9.0 42 522 9.0 15
Jun 28 962,402 0.89 77,318 1.15 10,729 0.79 2,779 1.0 7,688 0.17 169 0.0 6,615 0.07 311 5,450 0.16 171 4,609 0.12 240 3,117 0.11 59 1,528 0.35 43 1,884 0.26 79 1,098 0.3 37 1,883 0.0 154 1,144 1.27 9 1,013 0.57 10 1,250 0.17 44 1,141 0.04 33 1,335 0.71 31 745 1.89 38 862 0.75 48 533 -0.5 4 878 0.0 36 910 0.39 18 788 0.0 15 674 0.2 39 578 0.25 23 696 0.5 25 672 0.06 42 486 0.27 15
Jun 27 942,778 1.3 75,262 0.91 10,698 0.31 2,777 0.09 7,666 0.51 169 1.0 6,604 0.73 311 0.0 5,442 0.43 171 0.0 4,598 0.72 239 3,115 0.45 59 1,519 0.53 43 0.0 1,874 0.74 79 1,090 0.5 37 0.0 1,883 2.0 154 1,130 0.15 9 0.0 984 1.21 10 1,244 1.17 44 1,140 0.82 33 0.0 1,313 1.07 31 0.0 728 0.26 38 844 2.4 48 532 -0.06 4 0.0 878 0.56 36 0.0 901 0.4 18 788 0.44 15 673 0.45 39 576 0.53 23 692 0.44 25 671 1.8 42 0.0 482 0.79 15
Jun 26 920,634 0.94 73,467 1.08 10,659 0.82 2,775 0.63 7,533 1.69 168 0.5 6,455 1.64 311 0.14 5,393 1.14 171 3.0 4,506 1.52 239 0.0 3,096 2.47 59 0.0 1,493 1.11 43 2.0 1,835 1.26 79 1,063 0.74 37 1.0 1,875 0.8 154 0.0 1,119 2.61 9 1.0 933 1.24 10 1,209 1.43 44 0.0 1,113 3.3 33 1,282 1.16 31 1.0 719 0.95 38 820 0.48 48 534 0.32 4 860 1.1 36 878 2.07 18 774 2.29 15 0.0 668 1.83 39 568 1.25 23 0.0 684 0.35 25 653 1.43 42 467 0.95 15
Jun 25 903,647 1.45 71,494 1.1 10,533 0.99 2,753 1.25 7,271 0.49 167 1.0 6,250 0.63 310 3.5 5,279 0.84 168 1.0 4,378 0.88 239 3.0 3,054 0.63 59 1,444 0.79 41 1.0 1,782 1.62 79 0.0 1,009 1.87 36 1,871 154 1,046 0.72 8 891 1.55 10 1,179 0.88 44 1.0 1,080 0.48 31 1,253 0.45 30 684 3.7 38 810 3.0 48 503 32.33 3 828 2.42 35 820 2.55 18 742 0.52 15 657 1.5 39 553 0.71 23 0.5 666 1.44 25 643 1.4 40 0.0 448 1.11 15
Jun 24 885,594 0.53 69,668 0.97 10,379 0.97 2,718 0.74 7,116 1.38 165 2.0 6,125 1.59 303 -2.0 5,179 0.61 167 1.0 4,294 0.69 236 0.25 3,037 0.54 58 1,400 0.53 40 0.5 1,740 0.42 79 936 0.57 35 0.0 1,866 0.0 153 0.0 1,018 2.05 7 0.0 857 0.88 10 1,158 1.5 43 0.33 1,070 0.37 31 1,228 0.44 29 0.0 647 0.63 38 0.0 789 0.58 48 0.0 406 0.04 3 799 0.39 35 792 0.61 18 0.0 728 0.82 14 651 0.67 39 541 1.7 22 614 1.64 25 636 0.42 40 428 2.0 15
Jun 23 873,159 2.02 68,001 1.18 10,224 0.82 2,690 4.22 6,801 0.8 163 5,928 0.53 301 0.5 5,060 1.54 166 4,198 1.15 235 2.0 3,010 2.38 58 1,344 1.98 39 0.67 1,714 1.82 77 0.0 897 1.57 35 2.0 1,866 0.89 153 1.0 979 0.66 7 835 0.86 10 1,134 1.6 42 1,049 1.58 31 1,173 3.26 29 0.5 637 1.07 38 782 0.52 48 403 2.27 3 787 1.15 35 -0.0 781 0.86 18 701 2.54 14 647 0.55 39 524 1.0 20 578 1.22 25 631 0.71 39 410 0.5 15
Jun 22 849,712 0.95 66,284 1.62 10,065 9.19 2,652 9.0 6,572 1.26 162 5,804 1.97 302 4,866 1.75 165 4,059 1.44 231 2,960 1.24 58 1,239 1.39 37 1,652 0.69 77 828 2.93 33 1,858 3.0 152 960 0.88 4 810 0.85 10 1,118 0.71 39 992 1.29 31 1,049 0.69 28 621 2.14 37 770 3.29 42 335 3 756 2.45 35 -1.0 763 1.91 17 668 1.08 14 641 1.57 39 514 1.11 20 556 0.95 25 619 1.7 39 401 2.57 15
Jun 21 838,077 0.43 64,831 0.57 9,872 0.75 2,643 1.0 6,284 9.96 162 0.0 5,569 7.93 304 4,740 6.0 165 3,938 4.2 229 2,939 5.67 58 1,186 19.0 34 1,618 9.8 76 784 1.36 32 1,849 1.0 151 931 0.79 4 781 1.62 10 1,108 1.56 39 956 -28.0 31 1,011 2.89 26 606 1.0 37 747 7.0 42 305 0.0 3 729 1.22 36 742 1.83 17 655 3.0 14 630 3.5 39 504 1.13 20 538 2.38 25 602 1.43 39 383 7.0 15
Jun 20 825,814 1.44 63,934 1.44 9,851 0.29 2,642 0.03 6,055 0.12 162 0.5 5,450 0.28 304 0.0 4,668 0.18 165 0.0 3,854 0.33 229 0.0 2,922 0.12 58 1,148 0.2 34 0.0 1,569 0.16 76 0.0 769 0.21 32 0.0 1,846 1.0 151 898 1.56 4 747 0.64 10 1,094 0.75 39 928 -0.05 31 956 0.38 26 0.0 599 1.17 37 740 0.06 42 0.0 305 1.45 3 718 1.13 35 0.0 731 1.2 17 643 0.33 14 623 -0.67 39 -0.0 495 1.33 20 519 0.2 25 0.0 592 1.17 39 376 0.13 15
Jun 19 797,435 1.28 62,347 1.12 9,823 0.61 2,641 1.84 6,032 1.2 161 5,435 0.71 304 3.0 4,656 0.8 165 1.5 3,834 1.22 229 2.5 2,919 0.5 58 1,146 0.31 34 1.0 1,564 0.91 76 1.0 758 3.12 32 1,843 1.0 151 856 0.49 4 726 1.65 10 1,085 1.09 39 929 1.57 31 937 1.32 26 1.0 592 0.38 37 739 1.5 42 1.0 263 1.45 3 709 0.8 35 1.0 725 0.42 17 639